Evidence is mounting that the Earth’s climate system can change abruptly when tipping points are crossed, for example by anthropogenic release of greenhouse gases. We urgently need to understand and predict these abrupt transitions better. A list of priorities for … Continued
An analysis of observational data and a large climate model finds Earth’s 11-year cycle is out of sync with solar fluctuations The Earth’s global climate system fluctuates in 11-year and 3,5-year cycles find Yizhak Feliks, Justin Small and Michael Ghil. The … Continued
We know anthropogenic climate change will increase the probability of extreme weather events. But how much and in which regions? Valerio Lucarini and Vera Melinda Galfi demonstrate in Physical Review Letters that it is possible to estimate the probability of … Continued
PaleoJump is a new TiPES database for research on rapid transitions in paleoclimates by Witold Bagniewski, Denis-Didier Rousseau, Michael Ghil, and Jens Fohlmeister. “Paleoclimate records vary in their origin, nature, quality, and resolution. So, it is a daunting task to … Continued
