Unpredictable, abrupt changes to the Earth’s system of ocean currents could commence from rate-induced tipping, model study shows. ”The findings point to fundamental limitations in climate predictability,” authors warn. Imagine abrupt shifts of the tropical monsoons, reductions in Northern Hemisphere … Continued
The paper Multivariate estimations of equilibrium climate sensitivity from short transient warming simulations in Geophysical Research Letters, by Robbin Bastiaansen, Hank Dijkstra, and Anna von der Heydt has been highlighted by the AGU editors. In the article, Bastiaansen et al. … Continued
Reinterpretations of European loess indicate Western Europe might well have been the dustiest region on Earth Every late winter and early spring, huge dust storms swirled across the bare and frozen landscapes of Europe during the coldest periods of the … Continued
A new method reduces uncertainties in computer model estimations of climate change over thousands of years. Climate researchers have found a simple but efficient way to improve estimations of ultimate global warming from complex climate models. The finding is relevant … Continued
TiPES scientists Michael Ghil and Valerio Lucarini (together with Gabriele Vissio and Valerio Lembo) propose a metric to compare and evaluate climate simulations in Geophysical Research Letters. No climate model simulates all climatic processes correctly. Each IPCC-class model has its … Continued
Niklas Boers, head of PIK’s FutureLab “Artificial Intelligence in the Anthropocene” at Potsdam Institute of Climate Impact Research, and associate coordinator of the TiPES project has been awarded the European Geosciences Union Outstanding Early Career Scientist Award for 2021 in … Continued
PaleoJump is a new TiPES database for research on rapid transitions in paleoclimates by Witold Bagniewski, Denis-Didier Rousseau, Michael Ghil, and Jens Fohlmeister. “Paleoclimate records vary in their origin, nature, quality, and resolution. So, it is a daunting task to … Continued
We need a better understanding of how climate change is going to impact and disrupt the world economy. That can be achieved through calculations based on combining tools of dynamical systems theory and statistical physics. This combination of methods is known to improve the assessment of … Continued
Monitoring surface temperatures in two regions of the Atlantic Ocean will reliably forecast droughts in South America. Droughts impact millions of people and threaten the delicate ecosystems of the Amazon rainforest in South America. Now a study within the TiPES … Continued
4 distinct modes dominated Earth’s climate the last 66 million years, new study suggests An international study published in Science significantly improves the potential for understanding how the Earth’s climate system evolved over the past 66 million years. The work … Continued
