Finding tipping points in the climate of the past
A new analytical tool can help find tipping events back millions of years, potentially improving the understanding of tipping points in the Earth system TiPES-researchers have developed an automated method for the detection and precise dating of abrupt climate events … Continued
Climate tipping might be predicted using algebraic topology
Theoretical progress in climate science indicates algebraic topology applied to reduced climate models might help predict if and when the Earth system will tip The Earth’s climate system seems to have shifted abruptly between colder and warmer modes in the … Continued
Climate change tipping points: back to the drawing table
Work by, among others, Robbin Bastiaansen of Utrecht University indicates tipping might be evaded in a complex system. The article in Science contributes to the TiPES project. Listen to the TiPES-podcast with Robbin here. And read the press release from … Continued
Climate science pioneers win Nobel Physics Prize
US-Japanese scientist Syukuro Manabe, Klaus Hasselmann of Germany and Giorgio Parisi of Italy have been awarded the 2021 Nobel Prize in Physics “for groundbreaking contributions to our understanding of complex physical systems.” Manabe and Hasselmann share half a prize “for … Continued
Valerio Lucarini honoured with the 2021 AGU Ed Lorenz Lecture
The AGU (American Geophysical Union) honour is an acknowledgement of professor Lucarini’s outstanding work in geoscience. “It is an amazing feeling and a great pleasure to be selected for this honour by the American Geophysical Union, especially considering that previous … Continued
The Sun’s 11-year cycle cannot explain global warming
An analysis of observational data and a large climate model finds Earth’s 11-year cycle is out of sync with solar fluctuations The Earth’s global climate system fluctuates in 11-year and 3,5-year cycles find Yizhak Feliks, Justin Small and Michael Ghil. The … Continued
Ocean current system seems to be approaching a tipping point
The AMOC, a system of ocean currents influencing weather patterns globally and responsible for the mild European climate shows signs of stability loss The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) may have been losing stability in the course of the last … Continued
Predicting future extreme weather
We know anthropogenic climate change will increase the probability of extreme weather events. But how much and in which regions? Valerio Lucarini and Vera Melinda Galfi demonstrate in Physical Review Letters that it is possible to estimate the probability of … Continued
Improved prediction of Indian summer Monsoon onset three months in advance using machine learning
The result is encouraging as the Indian monsoon might become less regular due to future global warming The onset of the Indian summer monsoon has been predicted three months ahead for the last 40 years with the highest precision up … Continued
Studies add to concern about climate tipping
Tipping found in models of the Gulf Stream and North American mid-latitude wind systems add to the growing concern that anthropogenic climate change might be abrupt and irreversible Two model studies document the probability of climate tipping in Earth subsystems. … Continued