Steady now: Unfortunate timing and rate of change may be enough to tip a climate system
Unpredictable, abrupt changes to the Earth’s system of ocean currents could commence from rate-induced tipping, model study shows. ”The findings point to fundamental limitations in climate predictability,” authors warn. Imagine abrupt shifts of the tropical monsoons, reductions in Northern Hemisphere … Continued
Frerk Pöppelmeier recieves Marie Curie grant
A huge congratulations to TiPES postdoc Frerk Pöppelmeier who has been granted a Marie Curie grant.
Highlighted by the AGU
The paper Multivariate estimations of equilibrium climate sensitivity from short transient warming simulations in Geophysical Research Letters, by Robbin Bastiaansen, Hank Dijkstra, and Anna von der Heydt has been highlighted by the AGU editors. In the article, Bastiaansen et al. … Continued
Unmatched dust storms raged over Western Europe during Iceage maximum
Reinterpretations of European loess indicate Western Europe might well have been the dustiest region on Earth Every late winter and early spring, huge dust storms swirled across the bare and frozen landscapes of Europe during the coldest periods of the … Continued
Improving long-term climate calculations
A new method reduces uncertainties in computer model estimations of climate change over thousands of years. Climate researchers have found a simple but efficient way to improve estimations of ultimate global warming from complex climate models. The finding is relevant … Continued
An innovative way to evaluate and compare the performance of climate models
TiPES scientists Michael Ghil and Valerio Lucarini (together with Gabriele Vissio and Valerio Lembo) propose a metric to compare and evaluate climate simulations in Geophysical Research Letters. No climate model simulates all climatic processes correctly. Each IPCC-class model has its … Continued
Niklas Boers wins the 2021 Outstanding Early Career Scientist Award
Niklas Boers, head of PIK’s FutureLab “Artificial Intelligence in the Anthropocene” at Potsdam Institute of Climate Impact Research, and associate coordinator of the TiPES project has been awarded the European Geosciences Union Outstanding Early Career Scientist Award for 2021 in … Continued
PaleoJump – a TiPES database for research on rapid climate transitions
PaleoJump is a new TiPES database for research on rapid transitions in paleoclimates by Witold Bagniewski, Denis-Didier Rousseau, Michael Ghil, and Jens Fohlmeister. “Paleoclimate records vary in their origin, nature, quality, and resolution. So, it is a daunting task to … Continued
Time to improve the IPCC estimates on the economic cost of anthropogenic climate change
We need a better understanding of how climate change is going to impact and disrupt the world economy. That can be achieved through calculations based on combining tools of dynamical systems theory and statistical physics. This combination of methods is known to improve the assessment of … Continued
Droughts in the Amazon rainforest can be predicted up to 18 months in advance
Monitoring surface temperatures in two regions of the Atlantic Ocean will reliably forecast droughts in South America. Droughts impact millions of people and threaten the delicate ecosystems of the Amazon rainforest in South America. Now a study within the TiPES … Continued