International media have featured quite a few stories about tipping points in the climate system. Some of these reports have been worrying. Others are less disturbing. In this blog, you can read about tipping points, why they cause concern among … Continued
Data analysis suggests that the AMOC, an ocean current system responsible for the relatively mild climate in Western Europe and a cooling of the tropics, will likely shift to a less active state within decades The North Atlantic Overturning circulation … Continued
Peter Ashwin from university of Exeter presented on June 21st 2023 on “Quasipotentials for coupled escape problems and the gate-height bifurcation”. The study behind the presentation is; P Ashwin, J Creaser, K Tsaneva-Atanasova (2023) Quasipotentials for coupled escape problems and … Continued
Once again TiPES researchers did an excellent job disseminating their findings at the European Geophysical Union (EGU) Annual General Assembly held in Vienna in April. TiPES was the (co-)convener of multiple sessions spanning over Tipping points, resilience, and stochasticity in … Continued
Scientists launch an archive of paleoclimate data to facilitate analysis of abrupt transitions in the climate system Earth’s climate has undergone abrupt transitions in the past, which are often linked to the crossing of tipping points. Understanding how and why … Continued
If the ice sheet of West Antarctica breaks down, the result can be a stabilisation of the Atlantic ocean current system transporting warm water to the coasts of Western Europe It has been hypothesised, that the tipping of one element … Continued
A new method for estimating how much decisions under uncertainty matter suggests that, when the goals of decision-making are set, taking the best decisions (for those goals, under moderate uncertainty) still pays off when the probability of success becomes very … Continued
Valerio Lucarini presented a recent paper “A Critical Analysis of Optimal Fingerprinting Methods for Climate Change through the Lens of Linear Response Theory” authored by Valerio Lucarini and Mickaël Chekroun on January 27th as part of the TiPES webinar series. … Continued
It might be necessary to simulate thousands of years of climate change on large climate models in order to compare and evaluate them reliably An analysis by Robbin Bastiaansen, Anna von der Heydt, the University of Utrecht, the Netherlands, and … Continued
The paper draft presented in this video can be found here; https://www.researchgate.net/publicat…
