Work by, among others, Robbin Bastiaansen of Utrecht University indicates tipping might be evaded in a complex system. The article in Science contributes to the TiPES project. Listen to the TiPES-podcast with Robbin here. And read the press release from … Continued
US-Japanese scientist Syukuro Manabe, Klaus Hasselmann of Germany and Giorgio Parisi of Italy have been awarded the 2021 Nobel Prize in Physics “for groundbreaking contributions to our understanding of complex physical systems.” Manabe and Hasselmann share half a prize “for … Continued
The AGU (American Geophysical Union) honour is an acknowledgement of professor Lucarini’s outstanding work in geoscience. “It is an amazing feeling and a great pleasure to be selected for this honour by the American Geophysical Union, especially considering that previous … Continued
An analysis of observational data and a large climate model finds Earth’s 11-year cycle is out of sync with solar fluctuations The Earth’s global climate system fluctuates in 11-year and 3,5-year cycles find Yizhak Feliks, Justin Small and Michael Ghil. The … Continued
The AMOC, a system of ocean currents influencing weather patterns globally and responsible for the mild European climate shows signs of stability loss The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) may have been losing stability in the course of the last … Continued
We know anthropogenic climate change will increase the probability of extreme weather events. But how much and in which regions? Valerio Lucarini and Vera Melinda Galfi demonstrate in Physical Review Letters that it is possible to estimate the probability of … Continued
The result is encouraging as the Indian monsoon might become less regular due to future global warming The onset of the Indian summer monsoon has been predicted three months ahead for the last 40 years with the highest precision up … Continued
Tipping found in models of the Gulf Stream and North American mid-latitude wind systems add to the growing concern that anthropogenic climate change might be abrupt and irreversible Two model studies document the probability of climate tipping in Earth subsystems. … Continued
“Future climate change shaped by inter-model differences in Atlantic meridional overturning circulation response” by Katinka Bellomo, Michela Angeloni, Susanna Corti and Jost von Hardenberg from the National Research Council of Italy, Institute of Atmospheric Sciences and Climate (CNR-ISAC), Turin, Italy … Continued
The accuracy of climate predictions depends crucially on how the ocean circulation of the North Atlantic is incorporated into climate models, a TiPES-study shows Thirty state-of-the-art IPCC-climate models predict dramatically different climates for the Northern Hemisphere, especially Europe. An analysis … Continued
