System of currents in the Northern Atlantic Ocean estimated to tip mid century

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Data analysis suggests that the AMOC, an ocean current system responsible for the relatively mild climate in Western Europe and a cooling of the tropics, will likely shift to a less active state within decades The North Atlantic Overturning circulation … Continued

The Amazon rainforest seems to be approaching a tipping point

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Data analysis reveals the rainforest is losing resilience and is approaching a critical transition More than three-quarters of the Amazon rainforest has been losing resilience since early 2000, and the rainforest now shows characteristic signs of approaching a tipping point. … Continued

Climate tipping might be predicted using algebraic topology

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Theoretical progress in climate science indicates algebraic topology applied to reduced climate models might help predict if and when the Earth system will tip The Earth’s climate system seems to have shifted abruptly between colder and warmer modes in the … Continued

Steady now: Unfortunate timing and rate of change may be enough to tip a climate system

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Unpredictable, abrupt changes to the Earth’s system of ocean currents could commence from rate-induced tipping, model study shows. ”The findings point to fundamental limitations in climate predictability,” authors warn. Imagine abrupt shifts of the tropical monsoons, reductions in Northern Hemisphere … Continued

Statistical mechanics is great improvement to complex climate models

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The large uncertainties of climate models used in the IPCC reports might be reduced considerably by the use of statistical mechanics, TiPES study shows. A major challenge in climate prediction is the uncertainty on how we are going to deal … Continued