Bringing temperatures back closer to pre-industrial levels sufficiently fast may prevent tipping of the Greenland ice sheet and avoid drastic sea level rise even if critical temperature thresholds are crossed temporarily, a study finds Crossing critical temperature thresholds of the … Continued
Observations and simulations suggest the South American monsoon might be approaching an abrupt transition due to the combined threat of deforestation, fires, and droughts in the Amazon rainforest Using observations and computer modeling Nils Bochow, University of Tromsø, Norway, and Niklas … Continued
International media have featured quite a few stories about tipping points in the climate system. Some of these reports have been worrying. Others are less disturbing. In this blog, you can read about tipping points, why they cause concern among … Continued
Data analysis suggests that the AMOC, an ocean current system responsible for the relatively mild climate in Western Europe and a cooling of the tropics, will likely shift to a less active state within decades The North Atlantic Overturning circulation … Continued
Data analysis reveals the rainforest is losing resilience and is approaching a critical transition More than three-quarters of the Amazon rainforest has been losing resilience since early 2000, and the rainforest now shows characteristic signs of approaching a tipping point. … Continued
A new analytical tool can help find tipping events back millions of years, potentially improving the understanding of tipping points in the Earth system TiPES-researchers have developed an automated method for the detection and precise dating of abrupt climate events … Continued
Theoretical progress in climate science indicates algebraic topology applied to reduced climate models might help predict if and when the Earth system will tip The Earth’s climate system seems to have shifted abruptly between colder and warmer modes in the … Continued
Unpredictable, abrupt changes to the Earth’s system of ocean currents could commence from rate-induced tipping, model study shows. ”The findings point to fundamental limitations in climate predictability,” authors warn. Imagine abrupt shifts of the tropical monsoons, reductions in Northern Hemisphere … Continued
The large uncertainties of climate models used in the IPCC reports might be reduced considerably by the use of statistical mechanics, TiPES study shows. A major challenge in climate prediction is the uncertainty on how we are going to deal … Continued
