The paper Observation-based early-warning signals for a collapse of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation in Nature Climate Science by Niklas Boers was the second most featured climate science paper in news media and on SoMe in 2021 according to Carbonbrief.org. … Continued
In the last 66 million years, the climate of the Earth is known to have shifted abruptly between four different states; hothouse, warm house, cold house and icehouse. This was documented in 2020 by Westerhold et al. A further analysis … Continued
A new analytical tool can help find tipping events back millions of years, potentially improving the understanding of tipping points in the Earth system TiPES-researchers have developed an automated method for the detection and precise dating of abrupt climate events … Continued
Theoretical progress in climate science indicates algebraic topology applied to reduced climate models might help predict if and when the Earth system will tip The Earth’s climate system seems to have shifted abruptly between colder and warmer modes in the … Continued
Work by, among others, Robbin Bastiaansen of Utrecht University indicates tipping might be evaded in a complex system. The article in Science contributes to the TiPES project. Listen to the TiPES-podcast with Robbin here. And read the press release from … Continued
US-Japanese scientist Syukuro Manabe, Klaus Hasselmann of Germany and Giorgio Parisi of Italy have been awarded the 2021 Nobel Prize in Physics “for groundbreaking contributions to our understanding of complex physical systems.” Manabe and Hasselmann share half a prize “for … Continued
The AGU (American Geophysical Union) honour is an acknowledgement of professor Lucarini’s outstanding work in geoscience. “It is an amazing feeling and a great pleasure to be selected for this honour by the American Geophysical Union, especially considering that previous … Continued
An analysis of observational data and a large climate model finds Earth’s 11-year cycle is out of sync with solar fluctuations The Earth’s global climate system fluctuates in 11-year and 3,5-year cycles find Yizhak Feliks, Justin Small and Michael Ghil. The … Continued
The AMOC, a system of ocean currents influencing weather patterns globally and responsible for the mild European climate shows signs of stability loss The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) may have been losing stability in the course of the last … Continued
We know anthropogenic climate change will increase the probability of extreme weather events. But how much and in which regions? Valerio Lucarini and Vera Melinda Galfi demonstrate in Physical Review Letters that it is possible to estimate the probability of … Continued
