We need a better understanding of how climate change is going to impact and disrupt the world economy. That can be achieved through calculations based on combining tools of dynamical systems theory and statistical physics. This combination of methods is known to improve the assessment of … Continued
Monitoring surface temperatures in two regions of the Atlantic Ocean will reliably forecast droughts in South America. Droughts impact millions of people and threaten the delicate ecosystems of the Amazon rainforest in South America. Now a study within the TiPES … Continued
4 distinct modes dominated Earth’s climate the last 66 million years, new study suggests An international study published in Science significantly improves the potential for understanding how the Earth’s climate system evolved over the past 66 million years. The work … Continued
Today’s anthropogenic CO2 rise is more than six times larger and almost ten times faster than previous pulse-like releases to the atmosphere. This is the conclusion reached by a European research team led by the University of Bern. The study … Continued
Low warming scenarios become more unlikely after new estimate of climate sensitivity Between 2.6 and 3.9 degrees. Not 1.5 and 4.5 degrees Celsius. That is how much the climate will likely warm if we double the amount of CO2 in … Continued
TiPES scientists propose ideas for much more effective climate simulations than the traditional approach allows.
Laura Jackson and Richard Wood from The Met Office, UK have identified metrics that may give us early warnings of abrupt changes to the European Climate. An important goal in climate science is to establish early warning systems – a … Continued
The large uncertainties of climate models used in the IPCC reports might be reduced considerably by the use of statistical mechanics, TiPES study shows. A major challenge in climate prediction is the uncertainty on how we are going to deal … Continued
An analysis of the so-called climate spectrum shows why the ice ages have not behaved precisely as the models predict. A large element of coincidence is involved when an ice age begins or ends, the analysis shows. TiPES scientist, Peter … Continued
