Predicting future extreme weather

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Climate change leads to increased events like cold spells and heatwaves. But where and how often will we be hit? Photo by Jan Zanoba, FreeImages

We know anthropogenic climate change will increase the probability of extreme weather events. But how much and in which regions?

Valerio Lucarini and Vera Melinda Galfi demonstrate in Physical Review Letters that it is possible to estimate the probability of future extreme weather events in a selected region.

The method combines statistics with state-of-the-art climate models and estimates the probability of extreme weather events in key target geographical regions under changing climate conditions due to anthropogenic CO2 emissions.

Read more: Physics Research News ”Pinpointing the Roots of Extreme Weather Events

Read the article in Physical Review Letters.

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